Frederick Gaudreau vs Mathew Barzal
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudreau wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Barzal 39.3% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 78.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 77.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.7%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Gaudreau
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Gaudreau
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Gaudreau
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
35.0% (283)
+13.4%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
55.6% (9)
+3.1%
On even strength, Gaudreau has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Gaudreau shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Barzal
Home
51.1% (507)
37.0% (138)
Away
47.4% (508)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Gaudreau
Barzal
P1
49.4%
29.5%
P2
47.4%
44.5%
P3
51.2%
31.8%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |