Frederick Gaudreau vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Barzal 41.4% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 76.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 79.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 50.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Gaudreau
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
40.4% (463)
+4.6%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
34.2% (38)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
28.6% (7)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Gaudreau shoots right. Barzal is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Barzal
Home
42.6% (277)
38.1% (244)
Away
42.9% (259)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Gaudreau
Barzal
P1
43.8%
46.6%
P2
44.8%
35.7%
P3
39.2%
37.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%