Frederick Gaudreau vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.5% vs Barzal 42.2% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 80.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 60.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 58.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Gaudreau
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Gaudreau
Barzal
Last 10: Gaudreau 4-6 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
3
Gaudreau
Barzal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Barzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
6
7
Gaudreau
Barzal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,868)
41.9% (3,585)
+6.7%
Power Play
53.6% (220)
43.4% (205)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (810)
42.3% (26)
+4.4%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,316).
Gaudreau shoots right. Barzal is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,102).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Barzal
Home
49.1% (2,501)
43.1% (1,914)
Away
47.8% (2,397)
40.9% (1,902)
By Period
Gaudreau
Barzal
P1
49.6%
40.4%
P2
47.3%
44.6%
P3
49.0%
41.1%
OT
35.5%
27.6%
Final 5 min
47.7%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
50.0%▲
43.0%
48.5%
Barzal
40.0%▼
43.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |