Frederick Gaudreau vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs McCarron 54.0% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 84.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 54.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 67.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Gaudreau
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Gaudreau
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Gaudreau
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Gaudreau
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
54.2% (756)
-5.0%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
55.6% (9)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
55.1% (158)
-9.1%
On power play, McCarron has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Gaudreau is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Gaudreau shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McCarron
Home
47.1% (546)
54.6% (445)
Away
49.4% (551)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Gaudreau
McCarron
P1
46.8%
53.6%
P2
46.8%
55.6%
P3
51.1%
53.7%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |