Frederick Gaudreau vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs McCarron 52.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 82.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 75.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 70.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Gaudreau
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Gaudreau
McCarron
Last 10: Gaudreau 2-8 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
7
Gaudreau
McCarron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
4
Gaudreau
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
53.4% (2,901)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
45.3% (86)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
50.5% (463)
-3.9%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,280).
Gaudreau shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McCarron
Home
49.2% (2,437)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Gaudreau
McCarron
P1
49.7%
53.9%
P2
47.3%
52.5%
P3
49.1%
52.0%
OT
36.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |