Frederick Gaudreau vs Mika Zibanejad
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 62.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 63.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 59.4%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Last 8: Gaudreau 3-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
52.9% (870)
-3.7%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
53.5% (43)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
46.2% (143)
-0.2%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Gaudreau is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Gaudreau shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Home
47.1% (546)
55.1% (501)
Away
49.4% (551)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
P1
46.8%
57.5%
P2
46.8%
50.7%
P3
51.1%
47.9%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |