Frederick Gaudreau vs Mika Zibanejad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 88.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 53.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 80.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
53.4% (770)
-8.4%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
46.2% (39)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
44.7% (141)
-7.1%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Gaudreau shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Home
42.6% (277)
49.0% (429)
Away
42.9% (259)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
P1
43.8%
53.0%
P2
44.8%
51.1%
P3
39.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |