Frederick Gaudreau vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 51.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 80.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 65.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
6
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
7
2
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
8
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
50.9% (11,719)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
52.2% (1,849)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
41.5% (1,790)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,280).
Gaudreau shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Home
49.2% (2,437)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
P1
49.7%
50.4%
P2
47.3%
49.7%
P3
49.1%
49.8%
OT
36.7%
48.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |