Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikko Rantanen
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.0%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 84.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 88.3%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 51.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Last 5: Gaudreau 2-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
3
Gaudreau
Rantanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
50.9% (334)
-2.5%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
43.7% (119)
+15.0%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Home
51.1% (507)
49.4% (241)
Away
47.4% (508)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Gaudreau
Rantanen
P1
49.4%
47.1%
P2
47.4%
46.7%
P3
51.2%
51.9%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |