Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikko Rantanen
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Rantanen 53.2% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 83.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 93.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 52.1%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Last 7: Gaudreau 3-4 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
4
Gaudreau
Rantanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Rantanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
51.7% (346)
-2.7%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
58.5% (164)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
0.0% (1)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Gaudreau shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Home
50.8% (319)
55.8% (258)
Away
48.7% (228)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Gaudreau
Rantanen
P1
53.4%
50.0%
P2
47.4%
56.6%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |