Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikko Rantanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Rantanen 50.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 87.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 89.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 54.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Last 10: Gaudreau 7-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
8
Gaudreau
Rantanen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
12
1
Gaudreau
Rantanen
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Gaudreau
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
51.0% (1,522)
-2.3%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
50.8% (484)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
14.3% (7)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Rantanen is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Home
49.2% (2,437)
53.0% (1,067)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
48.3% (946)
By Period
Gaudreau
Rantanen
P1
49.7%
49.0%
P2
47.3%
51.3%
P3
49.1%
51.8%
OT
36.7%
57.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |