Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Frost
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Frost 51.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 80.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 78.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 55.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Gaudreau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Gaudreau
Frost
Last 9: Gaudreau 3-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Gaudreau
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
1
Gaudreau
Frost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Gaudreau
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
50.3% (825)
-1.1%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
54.9% (204)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
50.0% (4)
-4.0%
On power play, Frost has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Frost
Home
47.1% (546)
50.7% (489)
Away
49.4% (551)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Gaudreau
Frost
P1
46.8%
53.6%
P2
46.8%
47.8%
P3
51.1%
52.0%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |