Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Frost 50.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 56.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 86.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 62.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Gaudreau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
20
(35 meetings)
15
20
Gaudreau
Frost
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
13
Gaudreau
Frost
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
9
4
Gaudreau
Frost
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
49.4% (3,598)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
55.5% (625)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
52.8% (36)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Frost
Home
49.2% (2,437)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Gaudreau
Frost
P1
49.7%
50.8%
P2
47.3%
51.1%
P3
49.1%
48.5%
OT
36.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2023 | OT | 00:40 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |