Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Frost
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Frost 55.7% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 75.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 91.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 66.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Gaudreau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gaudreau
Frost
Last 6: Gaudreau 2-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Gaudreau
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
54.9% (701)
-9.9%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
60.8% (166)
-29.0%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
100.0% (5)
-62.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +62.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Frost
Home
42.6% (277)
56.0% (443)
Away
42.9% (259)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Gaudreau
Frost
P1
43.8%
58.9%
P2
44.8%
55.3%
P3
39.2%
54.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |