Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Geekie
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Geekie 44.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 62.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 87.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 73.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Gaudreau
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Gaudreau
Geekie
Last 6: Gaudreau 6-0 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
0
Gaudreau
Geekie
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
43.7% (584)
+5.3%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
47.1% (68)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
50.0% (8)
-0.9%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Gaudreau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Gaudreau shoots right. Geekie is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Geekie
Home
50.8% (319)
45.3% (329)
Away
48.7% (228)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Gaudreau
Geekie
P1
53.4%
41.2%
P2
47.4%
45.0%
P3
50.0%
46.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |