Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Geekie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.4%). Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Geekie 48.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 68.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 60.3%
Neutral zone
Geekie 52.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Gaudreau
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Gaudreau
Geekie
Last 10: Gaudreau 8-2 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Gaudreau
Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
7
0
Gaudreau
Geekie
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
2
Gaudreau
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
48.8% (2,307)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
45.7% (188)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
45.7% (129)
+0.9%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,280).
Gaudreau shoots right. Geekie is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Geekie
Home
49.2% (2,437)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Gaudreau
Geekie
P1
49.7%
48.6%
P2
47.3%
48.8%
P3
49.1%
47.7%
OT
36.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |