Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Geekie
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Geekie 47.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 86.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 85.3%
Neutral zone
Geekie 58.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Gaudreau
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Gaudreau
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Gaudreau
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
47.0% (117)
-2.0%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
47.1% (34)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
0.0% (3)
+37.6%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +37.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Gaudreau shoots right. Geekie is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Geekie
Home
42.6% (277)
45.3% (75)
Away
42.9% (259)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Gaudreau
Geekie
P1
43.8%
43.1%
P2
44.8%
48.1%
P3
39.2%
47.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |