Frederick Gaudreau vs Nicolas Roy
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 47.7%). Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Roy 47.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 50.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 51.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Gaudreau
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Gaudreau
Roy
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Gaudreau
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Gaudreau
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
4
Gaudreau
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
48.6% (679)
+0.6%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
48.0% (50)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
34.7% (49)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Gaudreau is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Gaudreau shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Roy
Home
47.1% (546)
49.3% (345)
Away
49.4% (551)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Gaudreau
Roy
P1
46.8%
47.6%
P2
46.8%
47.1%
P3
51.1%
47.9%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |