Frederick Gaudreau vs Nicolas Roy
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.4%). Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Roy 48.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 50.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 50.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Gaudreau
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Gaudreau
Roy
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
2
Gaudreau
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
7
Gaudreau
Roy
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
48.7% (3,719)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
49.5% (283)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
45.5% (477)
+1.1%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,280).
Gaudreau shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Roy
Home
49.2% (2,437)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Gaudreau
Roy
P1
49.7%
50.8%
P2
47.3%
46.3%
P3
49.1%
48.1%
OT
36.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |