Frederick Gaudreau vs Nicolas Roy
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Roy 51.9% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 78.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 69.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Gaudreau
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudreau
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
51.9% (547)
-6.9%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
54.1% (37)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
53.3% (92)
-15.7%
On power play, Roy has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Gaudreau shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Roy
Home
42.6% (277)
54.0% (328)
Away
42.9% (259)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Gaudreau
Roy
P1
43.8%
53.5%
P2
44.8%
51.6%
P3
39.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |