Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Carpenter
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 78.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 62.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 52.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Last 6: Gaudreau 1-5 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Gaudreau
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Gaudreau
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
53.2% (299)
-4.1%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
33.3% (3)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
46.5% (86)
+2.1%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Gaudreau shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Home
53.0% (483)
54.6% (207)
Away
46.7% (439)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Gaudreau
Carpenter
P1
53.5%
52.3%
P2
47.5%
51.5%
P3
49.5%
50.8%
Final 5 min
45.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |