Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Carpenter
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 53.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 55.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
48.8% (404)
+0.2%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
100.0% (1)
-32.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
43.6% (101)
+5.5%
On power play, Carpenter has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Gaudreau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Gaudreau shoots right. Carpenter is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Home
50.8% (319)
48.9% (274)
Away
48.7% (228)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Gaudreau
Carpenter
P1
53.4%
51.9%
P2
47.4%
49.4%
P3
50.0%
41.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |