Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.4%). Look for Carpenter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 65.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 51.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 50.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Last 9: Gaudreau 3-6 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Gaudreau
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
3
Gaudreau
Carpenter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
49.6% (2,027)
-0.9%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
41.5% (41)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
43.9% (467)
+2.7%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,280).
Gaudreau shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Carpenter
Home
49.2% (2,437)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Gaudreau
Carpenter
P1
49.7%
49.6%
P2
47.3%
47.7%
P3
49.1%
48.0%
OT
36.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |