Frederick Gaudreau vs Tomas Nosek
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Nosek 51.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 63.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 50.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 53.0%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Gaudreau
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gaudreau
Nosek
Last 9: Gaudreau 5-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Gaudreau
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
2
Gaudreau
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
53.0% (400)
-3.8%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
33.3% (12)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
45.5% (44)
+0.5%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Nosek
Home
47.1% (546)
49.6% (244)
Away
49.4% (551)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Gaudreau
Nosek
P1
46.8%
53.1%
P2
46.8%
51.4%
P3
51.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |