Frederick Gaudreau vs Tomas Nosek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.7% vs 43.6%). Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Nosek 46.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 78.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 61.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 68.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Gaudreau
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Gaudreau
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
48.5% (66)
-3.5%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
100.0% (1)
-68.2%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
29.6% (27)
+8.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +68.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Nosek is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Nosek
Home
42.6% (277)
44.0% (25)
Away
42.9% (259)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Gaudreau
Nosek
P1
43.8%
46.4%
P2
44.8%
34.2%
P3
39.2%
53.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |