Frederick Gaudreau vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Nosek 53.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 62.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 61.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 63.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Gaudreau
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Gaudreau
Nosek
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Gaudreau
Nosek
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
Nosek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
3
Gaudreau
Nosek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
54.9% (2,674)
-6.2%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
44.7% (47)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
47.4% (424)
-0.8%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Nosek
Home
49.2% (2,437)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Gaudreau
Nosek
P1
49.7%
52.3%
P2
47.3%
54.0%
P3
49.1%
54.6%
OT
36.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |