Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.6% vs Bonino 51.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 70.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 71.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Vilardi
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Vilardi
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Vilardi
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
51.7% (777)
-5.2%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
60.0% (50)
-16.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Vilardi is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Vilardi shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Bonino
Home
51.6% (64)
48.2% (461)
Away
40.3% (67)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Vilardi
Bonino
P1
48.9%
54.1%
P2
42.9%
49.7%
P3
45.2%
50.7%
Final 5 min
41.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |