Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). Vilardi wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Bonino 50.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Vilardi 76.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 70.2%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 55.2%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Vilardi
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Vilardi
Bonino
Last 10: Vilardi 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
6
7
Vilardi
Bonino
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
6
8
Vilardi
Bonino
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vilardi
3
1
Vilardi
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,053)
50.6% (8,315)
-4.8%
Power Play
51.3% (195)
54.1% (972)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
44.6% (1,693)
+3.5%
On even strength, Bonino has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Vilardi is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Vilardi shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Bonino
Home
47.2% (659)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
46.1% (616)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Vilardi
Bonino
P1
49.6%
50.6%
P2
43.7%
48.5%
P3
46.8%
51.1%
OT
33.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |