Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.9% vs Bonino 48.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 78.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 73.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Vilardi
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Vilardi
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vilardi
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Vilardi
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (81)
48.1% (324)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
57.9% (38)
-7.9%
On power play, Bonino has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Vilardi is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Vilardi shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Bonino
Home
44.8% (58)
52.0% (244)
Away
47.3% (55)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Vilardi
Bonino
P1
41.7%
48.0%
P2
55.6%
42.9%
P3
42.9%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |