Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Thomas 51.7% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 86.1%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 50.4%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 64.4%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Vilardi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Vilardi
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Vilardi
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (69)
50.1% (615)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
62.2% (98)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.6% (114)
-52.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Vilardi is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Vilardi shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Thomas
Home
40.8% (49)
51.9% (374)
Away
46.7% (45)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Vilardi
Thomas
P1
50.0%
49.2%
P2
37.1%
55.3%
P3
43.5%
50.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
43.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |