Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.6% vs Thomas 49.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 52.3%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 51.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.9%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Vilardi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Vilardi
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Vilardi
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vilardi
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
49.0% (910)
-2.5%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
53.5% (142)
-10.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Vilardi is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Vilardi shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Thomas
Home
51.6% (64)
47.3% (514)
Away
40.3% (67)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Vilardi
Thomas
P1
48.9%
50.4%
P2
42.9%
47.5%
P3
45.2%
51.4%
Final 5 min
41.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |