Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 49.6% vs Thomas 54.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 50.7%
Defensive zone
Thomas 82.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 71.8%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Vilardi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Vilardi
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (113)
55.3% (990)
-11.1%
Power Play
64.1% (39)
54.2% (190)
+9.9%
On even strength, Thomas has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Vilardi is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Vilardi shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Thomas
Home
38.5% (39)
55.1% (690)
Away
53.1% (113)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Vilardi
Thomas
P1
52.6%
55.5%
P2
35.3%
56.4%
P3
61.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
49.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |