Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.9% vs Thomas 52.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 68.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 56.6%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 51.2%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Vilardi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Vilardi
Thomas
Last 5: Vilardi 2-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
2
1
Vilardi
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Vilardi
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Vilardi
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (81)
53.6% (924)
-9.2%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
55.2% (181)
-5.2%
On even strength, Thomas has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Vilardi is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Vilardi shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Thomas
Home
44.8% (58)
53.6% (606)
Away
47.3% (55)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Vilardi
Thomas
P1
41.7%
48.2%
P2
55.6%
55.3%
P3
42.9%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |