Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (37.5% vs 36.7%). Lapierre wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 40.8% vs Wilson 45.0% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 63.9%
Defensive zone
Wilson 53.1%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 53.3%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Lapierre
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (275)
28.0% (25)
+10.2%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
40.0% (5)
-40.0%
On power play, Wilson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Lapierre is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Lapierre shoots left. Wilson is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Wilson
Home
37.3% (153)
26.9% (26)
Away
37.8% (127)
44.1% (34)
By Period
Lapierre
Wilson
P1
46.1%
44.4%
P2
38.1%
31.8%
P3
25.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
30.0%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
37.5%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
36.7%