Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 42.7% vs Wilson 48.9% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 50.6%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 57.4%
Neutral zone
Wilson 51.0%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Lapierre
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (248)
45.5% (11)
-5.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
55.6% (9)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.0% (15)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Lapierre is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Lapierre shoots left. Wilson is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Wilson
Home
44.2% (138)
33.3% (15)
Away
34.5% (116)
55.0% (20)
By Period
Lapierre
Wilson
P1
54.2%
46.7%
P2
39.1%
54.5%
P3
25.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
37.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
39.8%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
45.7%