Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Lapierre wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 39.8% vs Wilson 42.4% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Wilson 51.0%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 50.2%
Neutral zone
Wilson 51.7%
Result
Tom Wilson favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Lapierre
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (644)
40.8% (240)
-2.1%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
38.5% (65)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.3% (104)
-41.3%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Lapierre is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Lapierre shoots left. Wilson is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Wilson
Home
39.1% (366)
33.7% (187)
Away
37.3% (292)
46.4% (222)
By Period
Lapierre
Wilson
P1
46.8%
42.0%
P2
38.1%
44.8%
P3
28.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
34.2%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
38.3%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
40.6%