Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 68.9%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 93.9%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 80.7%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Lundeström
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Lundeström
Pavelski
Last 6: Lundeström 0-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Lundeström
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Lundeström
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Lundeström
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
52.5% (570)
-7.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
54.5% (145)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (85)
44.4% (36)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Lundeström is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (310).
Lundeström shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Pavelski
Home
45.8% (428)
55.0% (391)
Away
43.2% (451)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Lundeström
Pavelski
P1
48.6%
50.8%
P2
46.5%
55.0%
P3
37.8%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |