Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.9% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 65.8%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 76.7%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 58.0%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Lundeström
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lundeström
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Lundeström
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (554)
52.3% (560)
-4.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.5% (113)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
62.5% (16)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Lundeström is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Lundeström shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Pavelski
Home
47.4% (266)
54.2% (360)
Away
47.6% (336)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Lundeström
Pavelski
P1
54.5%
54.5%
P2
44.4%
56.7%
P3
44.6%
50.8%
OT
36.4%
30.8%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | OT | 04:49 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |