Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.3% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 73.6%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 67.4%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 51.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lundeström
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (278)
51.5% (594)
-3.7%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
51.7% (87)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (92)
28.6% (14)
+6.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Lundeström is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Lundeström shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Pavelski
Home
46.3% (190)
53.1% (339)
Away
41.8% (196)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Lundeström
Pavelski
P1
40.2%
53.8%
P2
44.3%
47.8%
P3
47.4%
50.2%
Final 5 min
37.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%