Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 44.0%). Lundeström wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs Novak 46.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 73.2%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 76.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Lundeström
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lundeström
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Lundeström
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
43.2% (118)
+2.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
47.8% (23)
+7.8%
On power play, Lundeström has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Lundeström shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Novak
Home
45.8% (428)
50.7% (71)
Away
43.2% (451)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Lundeström
Novak
P1
48.6%
44.7%
P2
46.5%
50.0%
P3
37.8%
38.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |