Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.3% vs Novak 43.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 88.2%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 57.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 65.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Lundeström
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Lundeström
Novak
Last 7: Lundeström 1-6 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Lundeström
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
3
Lundeström
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (278)
40.7% (460)
+7.1%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
61.5% (39)
-30.2%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (92)
0.0% (1)
+34.8%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Lundeström is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Lundeström shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Novak
Home
46.3% (190)
47.0% (236)
Away
41.8% (196)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Lundeström
Novak
P1
40.2%
43.1%
P2
44.3%
43.1%
P3
47.4%
40.1%
Final 5 min
37.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:37 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |