Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.9% vs 39.1%). Barbashev wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Bailey 44.3% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 66.2%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 68.1%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 50.1%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Barbashev
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
39.8% (83)
-1.9%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
27.3% (22)
+31.3%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
80.0% (5)
-39.3%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Barbashev is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Barbashev shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Bailey
Home
45.3% (137)
33.3% (48)
Away
36.1% (191)
43.5% (62)
By Period
Barbashev
Bailey
P1
41.8%
33.3%
P2
43.1%
47.2%
P3
31.9%
39.4%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
39.9%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%