Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Bailey 45.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 68.9%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 50.1%
Neutral zone
Bailey 68.2%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Barbashev
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barbashev
Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
41.7% (84)
-2.6%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
28.6% (7)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
60.0% (5)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Barbashev is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Barbashev shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Bailey
Home
40.0% (85)
37.9% (58)
Away
35.6% (59)
47.4% (38)
By Period
Barbashev
Bailey
P1
35.8%
47.2%
P2
29.5%
41.7%
P3
48.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
31.3%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
38.2%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |