Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Roy 48.3% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 78.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.4%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 55.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Barbashev
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Barbashev
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
48.3% (633)
-9.2%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
52.1% (48)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
43.7% (87)
-23.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Barbashev shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Roy
Home
40.0% (85)
50.8% (376)
Away
35.6% (59)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Barbashev
Roy
P1
35.8%
53.8%
P2
29.5%
43.5%
P3
48.9%
46.4%
Final 5 min
31.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |