Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Roy 47.2% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 79.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 84.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Barbashev
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
47.5% (617)
-7.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
39.6% (53)
+18.7%
On power play, Barbashev has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Barbashev is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Barbashev shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Roy
Home
45.8% (48)
47.2% (398)
Away
38.5% (39)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Barbashev
Roy
P1
43.3%
48.6%
P2
31.0%
48.8%
P3
53.6%
43.9%
Final 5 min
35.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%