Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.4% vs Stamkos 52.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 88.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 73.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 78.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 79.2%
20.8%
79.2%
Barbashev
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Barbashev
Stamkos
Last 6: Barbashev 4-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
3
0
Barbashev
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Barbashev
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
52.9% (735)
-6.4%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
53.4% (73)
-36.7%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
53.8% (145)
-12.5%
On power play, Stamkos has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Barbashev is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Barbashev shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Stamkos
Home
45.9% (233)
54.1% (481)
Away
45.2% (208)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Barbashev
Stamkos
P1
46.5%
50.2%
P2
48.3%
53.4%
P3
42.1%
55.8%
Final 5 min
42.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |