Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-11.1%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 56.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 55.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Barbashev
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
49.3% (789)
-11.4%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
56.9% (181)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
54.1% (98)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Barbashev shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Stamkos
Home
45.3% (137)
52.0% (512)
Away
36.1% (191)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Barbashev
Stamkos
P1
41.8%
42.1%
P2
43.1%
56.4%
P3
31.9%
53.7%
OT
75.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
37.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%