Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 62.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 51.8%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 56.9%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Barbashev
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Barbashev
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Barbashev
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
55.3% (628)
-16.2%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
55.1% (216)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
40.2% (87)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Barbashev shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Stamkos
Home
40.0% (85)
55.5% (499)
Away
35.6% (59)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Barbashev
Stamkos
P1
35.8%
50.7%
P2
29.5%
53.8%
P3
48.9%
55.9%
Final 5 min
31.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |