Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-13.5%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 64.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 65.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Barbashev
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
55.9% (499)
-15.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
56.3% (126)
+2.0%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Barbashev is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Barbashev shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Stamkos
Home
45.8% (48)
55.3% (349)
Away
38.5% (39)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Barbashev
Stamkos
P1
43.3%
57.0%
P2
31.0%
59.2%
P3
53.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
35.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%