Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Seguin 53.6% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 88.0%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 95.0%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 94.5%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
Barbashev
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Barbashev
Seguin
Last 10: Barbashev 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
7
Barbashev
Seguin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
6
Barbashev
Seguin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Barbashev
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
53.7% (8,071)
-11.7%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
55.9% (810)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
49.3% (762)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Barbashev shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Seguin
Home
42.4% (932)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Barbashev
Seguin
P1
40.7%
52.8%
P2
42.3%
53.3%
P3
42.3%
54.7%
OT
60.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
39.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |